Sinification

Sinification

Share this post

Sinification
Sinification
What Trump Means for Taiwan by CASS Analyst Zhang Hua
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More

What Trump Means for Taiwan by CASS Analyst Zhang Hua

"China has accumulated more tools for counteraction and is increasingly resolute in its determination to resist US bullying."

Thomas des Garets Geddes's avatar
Paddy Stephens's avatar
Thomas des Garets Geddes
and
Paddy Stephens
Jan 26, 2025
∙ Paid
15

Share this post

Sinification
Sinification
What Trump Means for Taiwan by CASS Analyst Zhang Hua
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
4
Share

Chinese New Year Special: Enjoy 12 months for the price of 6
Support this project and gain access to exclusive paywalled content
Sinification is a non-profit that depends on your generosity
Offer ends in one week

Get 50% off for 1 year

Today’s edition offers a rare glimpse into how Chinese analysts are evaluating Trump’s impact on Taiwan and cross-Strait relations. The piece summarised below is authored by Zhang Hua (张华), a senior researcher at CASS's prestigious Institute of Taiwan Studies.

Overall, Zhang believes that Trump will maintain the US’s existing policy towards the island, with his aversion to war prompting him to restrain Lai Ching-te’s pro-independence “provocations”. However, Zhang argues that Taiwan is likely to rank low on Trump’s list of priorities. Washington’s primary focus, he suggests, will remain on domestic issues, while any attention given to foreign affairs will centre primarily on Ukraine and the Middle East.

Will Trump strike a deal with Xi over Taiwan? Zhang is sceptical. He believes t…

This post is for paid subscribers

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 Thomas des Garets Geddes
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture

Share

Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More