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Turning Crisis into Opportunity: Zhong Houtao on China’s New Taiwan Strategy (Part 2)

Turning Crisis into Opportunity: Zhong Houtao on China’s New Taiwan Strategy (Part 2)

"So how should the Mainland respond? It comes down to three characters—the first is “expose” [破]. What does this “exposing” entail? It means exposing Taiwan’s democracy as fake democracy."

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Thomas des Garets Geddes
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Daniel Crain
Jul 19, 2025
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Turning Crisis into Opportunity: Zhong Houtao on China’s New Taiwan Strategy (Part 2)
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This is the second—and arguably the most substantive—part of Zhong Houtao’s book talk with the China Review News Agency. Part One and its key points are available here. — Thomas

Key Points (Part 2)

  1. Taiwan’s strategic importance for the US is diminishing: as China’s Pacific power expands, the First Island Chain’s significance is declining, and many Americans now see the alliance credibility argument as increasingly hollow.

  2. Ultimately, whether Washington decides to intervene militarily in the event of reunification by force hinges on Beijing’s level of preparedness — which, in turn, necessitates shifting the cross-Strait balance further in China’s favour.

  3. While Taipei seeks to sever economic and people-to-people ties with the Mainland, Beijing should take the opposite course: deepen openness towards Taiwan and avoid punitive measures when possible.

  4. Although rejection of the PRC’s political system and declining Chinese identity among Taiwanese citizens are real challenges, both can be address…

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